RECOBIA - Reduction of Cognitive Biases in Intelligence Analysis

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3 Reasons You Underestimate Risk


Harvard Business Review Blog

by Srini Pillay

July 17, 2014

In hindsight, many risks seem obvious.  And when we do take the time to evaluate potential risks, there is often not much that is profound about them.  Yet so many of us fall prey to unforeseen risks, believing that they came out of nowhere or that they could not have been anticipated.  While this may be true in some cases, most of the time risk blindness occurs due to the way our brains are wired. Here are three reasons why we’re blind to risk, and what we can do about it.

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